Learning Path: Business Decision Modeling

Pengambilan keputusan manajerial berbasis model Deterministik & Probabilistik.

Fase I: Deterministic Models (Pasti)
01

Intro to Decision Modeling

Konsep dasar pemodelan dan tipe masalah manajemen.

Buka Materi β†’
02

LP: Graphical Method

Formulasi Linear Programming & solusi grafik.

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03

LP: Excel Solver

Solusi komputasi untuk optimasi kompleks.

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04

Sensitivity Analysis

Shadow Price & Reduced Cost analysis.

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05

Transportation Model

Optimasi distribusi multi-sumber & tujuan.

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06

Financial Modeling

NPV, IRR, Break-even & Investment Analysis.

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07

Review & Prep UTS

Latihan soal & kisi-kisi Deterministic Models.

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UTS

Ujian Tengah Semester

Evaluasi komprehensif Sesi 01-07.

Lihat Soal β†’
Fase II: Probabilistic Models (Risiko)
08

Decision Analysis

Payoff Tables: Maximax, Maximin, EMV.

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08A

Decision Trees

Sequential decision making & TreePlan.

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09

Queuing Theory

Optimasi antrean (Waiting Lines M/M/s).

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Fase III: Advanced Simulation, Planning & MCDM
10

Simulation Modeling

Monte Carlo Simulation untuk analisis risiko.

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11

Forecasting Models

Time Series & Causal Forecasting.

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12

Inventory Control

EOQ, ROP, Safety Stock & ABC Analysis.

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13

MCDM (AHP/ANP)

Keputusan multikriteria dengan Super Decisions.

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14

Review & Prep UAS

Bedah kasus integrasi & strategi Anti-AI.

Persiapan UAS β†’
“Decision Making under Uncertainty β€” Aurinoworks Learning Path 2025”