Learning Path: Business Decision Modeling

Pengambilan keputusan manajerial berbasis model Deterministik & Probabilistik.

Fase I: Deterministic Models (Pasti)
01

Intro to Decision Modeling

Konsep dasar pemodelan dan tipe masalah manajemen.

Buka Materi →
02

LP: Graphical Method

Formulasi Linear Programming & solusi grafik.

Buka Materi →
03

LP: Excel Solver

Solusi komputasi untuk optimasi kompleks.

Buka Materi →
04

Sensitivity Analysis

Shadow Price & Reduced Cost analysis.

Buka Materi →
05

Transportation Model

Optimasi distribusi multi-sumber & tujuan.

Buka Materi →
06

Financial Modeling

NPV, IRR, Break-even & Investment Analysis.

Buka Materi →
07

Review & Prep UTS

Latihan soal & kisi-kisi Deterministic Models.

Buka Materi →
UTS

Ujian Tengah Semester

Evaluasi komprehensif Sesi 01-07.

Lihat Soal →
Fase II: Probabilistic Models (Risiko)
08

Decision Analysis

Payoff Tables: Maximax, Maximin, EMV.

Buka Materi →
08A

Decision Trees

Sequential decision making & TreePlan.

Buka Materi →
09

Queuing Theory

Optimasi antrean (Waiting Lines M/M/s).

Buka Materi →
10

MCDM (AHP/ANP)

Keputusan multikriteria dengan Super Decisions.

Buka Materi →
Fase III: Advanced Simulation & Planning
11

Simulation Modeling

Monte Carlo Simulation untuk analisis risiko.

Buka Materi →
12

Forecasting Models

Time Series & Causal Forecasting.

Buka Materi →
13

Inventory Control

EOQ, ROP, Safety Stock & ABC Analysis.

Buka Materi →
14

Review & Prep UAS

Bedah kasus integrasi & strategi Anti-AI.

Persiapan UAS →
“Decision Making under Uncertainty — Aurinoworks Learning Path 2025”